Lehman Brothers’
bankrupcy is likely to cost Indian
real estate. It may impact the financial major’s existing investments worth
$500 million in realty firms, including DLF and Unitech, besides drying up
another $500-million worth of potential investment which was expected to flow
into Unitech’s
Mumbai projects.
The news of Lehman’s
collapse brought the BSE realty index down by 7.65% on Monday, while the
benchmark Sensex declined 3.35%. Both DLF and Unitech fell 7.5%.
Lehman’s fall signals a
deepening of credit crisis for Indian developers, who have lately been battling
falling sales, rising cost of construction and tightening credit. It is
expected that the US-based firm is likely to go for a fire sale of its assets.
The financial service
major was very bullish on India
and was among the active investors in Indian real estate. Early this year, it
had leased out an office space in Mumbai paying Rs 1 crore per month as rental.
This would divert a part of fresh funds seeking to invest in Indian realty.
This is because global
fund houses have country-allocations. And as they buyout Lehman’s stake in some
of the Indian assets, they will end up diverting some of the fresh
funds-in-hand to existing assets rather than investing in new projects.
“Lehman’s departure will
impact future cash flows of real estate companies. In a market situation like
today’s, it will be all the more difficult for the firms to raise funds,” says
Karvy Stock Broking vice-president Ambareesh Baliga.
Lehman invested $200
million in DLF promoter group company DLF Assets last year and bought 50% stake
in Unitech’s Mumbai project for $175 million a few months ago. It had also
invested $80 million in Bangalore-based SEZ Gandhi City and was likely to hike its share to
$300 million.
Lehman’s other
investments include a 40% stake in an IT park project of Peninsula Land in
Hyderabad for an initial investment of Rs 50 crore. It had also teamed up with
Mumbai-based developer HDIL to bid for the redevelopment of Asia’s
largest slum Dharavi.
Wherever the developers
had received fund, they are safe. But where the funds are yet to come, the
developers could get stuck. Some analysts say a distress sale by Lehman will
impact the valuation of existing projects.
DLF CFO Ramesh Sanka had
earlier told ET that Lehman’s sale of investments in DAL would not impact DAL’s
valuation. Unitech MD Sanjay Chandra said that his company had already received
funds. So, the company won’t get impacted by Lehman’s bankruptcy.
Some industry executives
say that FDI norms of a three-year lock-in period may prevent Lehman from
making an immediate sale. But analysts argue that the lock-in period in case of
bankruptcy may not hold.